The lead
Bitcoin Mining May Have Peaked. The Chain Agrees More Than His Own Numbers Do.
Saifedean Ammous argues mining has stopped growing for good. This desk checked his four load-bearing figures against the sources he names. The difficulty stretch is longer than he says — 324 days now, against his 305. The epoch subsidy multiple is 21 percent, not 28. But the peak he nominates as the empirical test is not where Cambridge’s own series puts it: the high was 227 TWh in October 2025, not 190 in December, and December was already the decline.
Filed at block 967,633






